- The Washington Times - Tuesday, May 7, 2024

A version of this story appeared in the On Background newsletter from The Washington Times. Click here to receive On Background delivered directly to your inbox each Friday.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential bid isn’t a threat just to President Biden. The former Democrat also is courting Republicans, and his efforts are rankling the Trump campaign.

Mr. Kennedy, a longtime liberal Democrat who became an independent in October, is making a play for conservatives by appearing regularly on Fox News and other right-leaning television shows and podcasts.

He accused Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump of raising the nation’s massive debt. Although he would lose in a three-way race, he said, a poll conducted by Zogby shows he can win in November in a head-to-head matchup.

“If I go head-to-head with either of them, I win,” Mr. Kennedy said on Fox News.

On Tuesday, he challenged Mr. Trump to a debate at the two-day Libertarian National Convention, which opens in Washington on May 24. Mr. Trump and Mr. Kennedy are slated to attend.


SEE ALSO: RFK Jr. says he has a dead worm in his brain


“It’s perfect neutral territory for you and me to have a debate where you can defend your record for your wavering supporters,” Mr. Kennedy dared Mr. Trump in a post on X. “You yourself have said you’re not afraid to debate me as long as my poll numbers are decent. Well, they are. In fact, I’m the only presidential candidate in history who has polled ahead of both major party candidates in head-to-head races.”

Mr. Kennedy’s agenda includes a bevy of liberal initiatives, including raising corporate taxes, increasing the minimum wage and promoting unions, which make him an attractive alternative to the many Democratic voters who think Mr. Biden is too old or has done a poor job running the country.

Mr. Kennedy’s criticism of the COVID-19 vaccine and his pledge to stop spending on overseas wars and to close the southern border have caught the interest of Republican voters and independents, particularly those who want an alternative to Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden.

Polls show Mr. Kennedy drawing support from Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump, making him a wild card in critical battleground states, where he plans to have his name on every ballot.

A Suffolk University poll released Monday showed Mr. Kennedy drawing 8% of support among registered voters. Mr. Trump was left with less than a one-half percentage lead over Mr. Biden.

Mr. Kennedy’s supporters self-define as 13% liberal, 55% moderate and 27% conservative, according to the poll.

“By that metric alone, one would think RFK draws more conservative voters away from Trump,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

Mr. Kennedy’s supporters also include 14% Hispanic voters, 13% young voters and 14% independent voters.

“Overall, RFK voters tend to be more moderate and conservative, but in the categories RFK really does well in, he tends to hurt Biden, especially among young voters and Hispanics,” he said.

Pollsters say they aren’t sure whether Mr. Trump or Mr. Biden would ultimately lose more votes to Mr. Kennedy, but the former president and other Republicans are worried.

On his social media site, Mr. Trump called Mr. Kennedy “a Democrat ‘Plant’” who is running to help Mr. Biden win. He criticized Fox News for giving Mr. Kennedy a platform.

“A Vote for Junior’ would essentially be a WASTED PROTEST VOTE, that could swing either way, but would only swing against the Democrats if Republicans knew the true story about him,” Mr. Trump posted on Truth Social.

Mr. Kennedy, an environmental activist and prominent skeptic of vaccinations and pharmaceuticals, is running on restoring the middle class by ending illegal immigration, halting U.S. spending on overseas wars and raising corporate tax rates.

He is making steady progress toward ballot access. In some cases, he has joined a third party.

In Michigan, a critical battleground state, Mr. Kennedy became eligible for the ballot in April with his nomination by the Natural Law Party, one of five minor parties in the state that qualify to choose a presidential candidate.

Mr. Kennedy polls at 5% in Michigan and appears to cut equally into Mr. Biden’s and Mr. Trump’s vote, according to a recent Emerson College survey.

Emerson pollsters found Mr. Trump leading Mr. Biden by 1 percentage point in a head-to-head matchup. When Mr. Kennedy is factored into the race, Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump lose 2 percentage points and Mr. Trump maintains a 1-point lead.

Michigan State University political science professor Matthew Grossmann said support for third-party and independent candidates typically declines as the election nears, but Mr. Kennedy’s support is substantial.

“He’s potentially drawing some from anti-institutional and anti-vaccine potential Trump supporters, and some from traditional Democrats upset with Biden. It’s a protest vote at the moment,” Mr. Grossmann said.

The Trump campaign has been highlighting past statements by Mr. Kennedy showing his allegiance to ultra-left positions, including big tax increases, eliminating fossil fuels and calling the NRA a terrorist organization.

“Despite the dreams of the liberal echo chamber, Kennedy is an existential threat to Joe Biden, not President Trump,” Trump campaign adviser Brian Hughes told The Washington Times. “That’s why Biden and his liberal cronies are desperately fighting to keep Kennedy off the ballot in several states.”

• Susan Ferrechio can be reached at sferrechio@washingtontimes.com.

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