OPINION:
Political and other prognosticators are busy predicting the future, as usual. Never mind calculating how wrong they have been in the past. Our desire to know what’s coming sometimes overcomes sound thinking, ignorance of history and an understanding of human nature.
Recall the number of times climate alarmists predicted we would either freeze or burn to death by certain dates and religious mouthpieces forecasting the end of the world on dates that failed to materialize. Cars and electricity were declared a fad when they first appeared. The list of outlandish predictions is long.
More can be learned from the past than by trying to predict the future. As Doris Day sang in the film “The Man Who Knew Too Much”: “Whatever will be will be. The future’s not ours to see, que sera, sera.”
In 1924, President Calvin Coolidge was elected to a full term after serving out the term of Warren G. Harding, who had died in office. Coolidge’s good character should serve as an example to modern politicians at a time when sex scandals and other violations of what once were called moral norms seem to have mostly evaporated.
Coolidge believed in small government, low taxes, balanced budgets and personal responsibility (he left office with a smaller federal government than when he arrived and was wrongly blamed for the Great Depression). Sound economic and moral principles were taught in schools in 1925, but not so much today. Many feign surprise at the inevitable results. Who decided right and wrong are individually determined?
Some future events were predictable if only people had paid attention. The “Roaring ’20s” focused on profit and pleasure, overlooking the rise to power of Italian fascist dictator Benito Mussolini and the coming dictator of Germany, Adolf Hitler, whose book “Mein Kampf” was published that year, should have warned the world about his goals. Those included world domination and the elimination of the Jewish people. Why don’t we listen and act accordingly when evil people announce what they intend to do?
The Scopes Monkey Trial intensified the evolution vs. creation debate that continues today.
The year saw as many as 40,000 members of the Ku Klux Klan march on Washington. The recent rise in antisemitism shows we have learned little about the scourge of hate and how it must be opposed, or it will grow. The first stirrings of what would become the modern Civil Rights Movement occurred in New York’s Harlem with the formation of the Brotherhood of Sleeping Car Porters.
On Sept. 5, 1925, the temperature climbed to 114 degrees in Centreville, Alabama. People called it weather and not today’s climate change hysteria.
Humiliated by its defeat in World War I, in 1925, Germany agreed to its borders with France and Belgium and announced its intention to apply for membership in the League of Nations. Neither the league nor the Germans’ promise would last long (see above).
Many good things came out of 1925, including from serious jazz musicians such as Louis Armstrong and Duke Ellington, in sports, and from literary giants such as F. Scott Fitzgerald and Virginia Woolf.
Given the economic challenges to come, along with a second world war that killed more than 400,000 Americans, the “roar” of 1925 would soon be drowned out by the roar of global conflict.
What can we learn from 1925? Plenty, if we will. As Confucius observed: “Study the past if you would define the future.”
Will we learn from him and from history in 2025? We will soon find out.
• Readers may email Cal Thomas at tcaeditors@tribpub.com. Look for Cal Thomas’ latest book, “A Watchman in the Night: What I’ve Seen Over 50 Years Reporting on America” (Humanix Books).
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