Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has worn a lot of hats in the 2024 presidential race: vaccine skeptic, anti-war champion and environmental warrior — as well as shirtless gym rat and backflip master.
The gravel-voiced, 69-year-old scion of the storied Kennedy family is expected to add another line to his political resume: independent presidential candidate.
Mr. Kennedy, who has called for a “peaceful revolution” in America, is teasing plans to abandon his bid for the Democratic Party nomination to run as an independent. He told supporters that he plans to “make a major announcement” on Monday in Philadelphia.
“I’m not going to tell you right now exactly what that announcement will be,” Mr. Kennedy said on social media. “I can say, though, that if you’ve been waiting to come to one of my public events, this will be the one to come to.
“I will be speaking about a sea change in American politics and what your part and my part is in that change,” he said.
Cornel West, a liberal icon, also is running as an independent after ditching a Green Party run. Mr. Kennedy and Mr. West must meet various filing requirements and deadlines to qualify for state ballots.
Mr. Kennedy has made little traction in his long-shot bid for the Democratic nomination, though he has siphoned off an average of 15% of the Democratic vote from President Biden.
He insists he is getting a raw deal from the Democratic National Committee, which is eager to nominate Mr. Biden without much fuss despite his low approval ratings and widespread doubts that the 80-year-old president is mentally fit enough to serve another four years.
Mr. Kennedy could be a spoiler, but it is unclear whether his independent bid would have a greater impact on Mr. Biden or former President Donald Trump if their rematch comes to fruition.
“It has to be a bigger threat to Biden because the base of the Kennedy name is Democrats and he will appeal to a range of people who would not vote for Trump but are really fed up with Biden,” former House Speaker Newt Gingrich told The Washington Times. “It is also true that RFK has boldly taken positions that appeal to conservative voters like dismantling the deep state and medical freedom.”
Mr. Kennedy is running against “corruption [that] has overtaken” the federal government and squelched any chance of fixing the nation’s toughest challenges and lifting the working class.
His top priorities include:
• Raising the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour.
• Expanding free health care for children.
• Reducing mortgage rates to 3%.
• Empowering labor unions.
• Securing the southern border.
• Redirecting military spending to other federal programs.
• Forcing corporations to pay more taxes.
• Ending U.S. involvement in Ukraine.
“What’s America’s #1 priority?” Mr. Kennedy said on social media. “Mitch McConnell says it is to provide assistance to the Ukrainians. Is that true? Or is it only the priority of the Democrat and Republican Beltway elites?”
A pro-Kennedy super PAC released a poll that showed he would pull more support away from Mr. Trump in the general election.
Democrats, however, fear Mr. Kennedy would pose a more significant threat to Mr. Biden’s reelection campaign because of his family name and liberal tendencies.
“RFK Jr. is a huge threat in 2024,” Laurence Tribe, a prominent liberal scholar, said on social media. “He’s backed by a massive and growing war chest and Cambridge Analytica on steroids. And he’s taking dead aim at the Biden/Harris ticket as a 3rd party spoiler. He could assure a Trump victory and the end of the republic.”
The irony is that Trump and Biden supporters have speculated that sinister forces are propping up Mr. Kennedy.
“Rumors circulating that @elonmusk & others may be throwing into a super PAC for the independent bid RFK Jr.’s announcing next week,” said David Axelrod, who served as senior adviser to President Obama. “If true, it could be a significant factor in shaping the outcome of the ’24 race.”
On the flip side, conservative rabble-rouser Charlie Kirk said the slew of articles warning that RFK Jr. spells doom for Mr. Biden smells fishy.
“This feels like an op, a scheme, a strategy, a machination, a plot, a ploy where they are trying to convince you that this is bad for Biden,” Mr. Kirk said during a recent show. “Now, let’s just think about this. Is there any evidence when a libertarian runs for office it hurts the Democrat?” he said. “No. In fact, libertarians being on the ballot almost always hurt Republicans.”
He referred to Mr. Kennedy as a libertarian, the political philosophy in which individual freedom is the core belief, not as a member of the Libertarian Party, which espouses that philosophy.
Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll, said his surveys have found that, among registered voters nationwide, people who have a soft spot for Mr. Kennedy are more likely to vote for Mr. Trump, and those who do not like him are much more likely to support Mr. Biden.
“Others have pointed to this as a reason to think Kennedy might actually hurt Trump if he gets on ballots as an independent,” he said. “I don’t think that is at all likely, but this does show that pro-Kennedy voters aren’t fond of Biden.”
Mr. Franklin pointed out that the vote differential in competitive elections in battleground states such as Wisconsin has been about 25,000 votes and that Green Party nominee Jill Stein pulled in far more than that in 2016.
He said the third-party vote fell off in 2020.
“So a question is whether 2024 will be like 2020, with voters very focused on Biden vs. Trump, or like 2016 with a lot of voters disenchanted with both and looking for an alternative, even if only a symbolic vote,” he said. “I think Kennedy — or apparently Cornel West — as independent candidates are likely to fade over the next 13 months.
“But in the closest states that will determine the Electoral College winner, they are worth watching if voters next fall appear especially reluctant to choose between the Democratic and Republican nominees,” he said.
Correction: A previous version of this article misspelled Cornel West’s first name.
• Jeff Mordock contributed to this report.
• Seth McLaughlin can be reached at smclaughlin@washingtontimes.com.
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