OPINION:
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s decision to meet with visiting Secretary of State Antony Blinken was a wise decision. It conveyed to the world that China wants stability in its relationship with the U.S., concerned that Sino-U.S. tension could and would affect global stability.
The fact is, however, that China is aligned with a revisionist Russian Federation that invaded Ukraine, a sovereign nation that gave up its nuclear weapons in 1994 in return for security assurances from Russia, the U.S. and the United Kingdom.
Russia’s war in Ukraine after the February 2022 invasion continues, with thousands of Ukrainian casualties and massive social and economic devastation.
How China — or any country — can justify an alignment with Russia strains credibility.
It wasn’t too long ago that we were hearing from many in China that the U.S. was a superpower in decline.
Citing the Thucydides Trap, when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, resulting in a violent confrontation, many in China were convinced that China was destined to overtake the U.S.
They were wrong.
Responding to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, it was U.S. leadership that united allies and partners in Europe to also come to the aid of Ukraine.
It’s that aid and support to the courageous Ukrainian people that helped halt the Russian onslaught and has Vladimir Putin facing a humiliating defeat in Ukraine. This is the Russia that China is aligned with.
President Xi Jinping’s 35-minute meeting with Mr. Blinken was reportedly substantive.
China’s earlier 12-point proposal to end the war in Ukraine called for a cease-fire and peace talks, and the lifting of sanctions on Russia while stating upfront the need to respect the sovereignty of all countries: “Universally recognized international law, including the purposes and principles of the United Nations Charter, must be strictly observed. The sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of all counties must be effectively upheld.”
Clearly, Russia is the aggressor and in violation of the United Nations Charter; this, all responsible countries agree.
Now is the time for China to use its leverage with Russia to get Mr. Putin to end the war in Ukraine and return the occupied territories Russia invaded. That would be the beginning of a just end to the war, with reparations to help rebuild a devastated Ukraine.
After the COVID-19 lockdown, China has been pursuing aggressive outreach to Europe, the Middle East, Latin America and Africa. It’s projecting an image of a great power interested in good relations with all countries, and committed to global stability.
For China, that translates into maintaining a robust economic relationship with the United States and the European Union while maintaining close economic and geopolitical ties with all countries.
The International Monetary Fund assessed that China’s economy could grow at a rate of 5.2% in 2023, compared with 3% in 2022. Of course, this assumes an uptick in industrial productivity and a focus on breakthrough technologies.
Given China’s demographic challenges and a projected decrease in populations growth, with the need to create enough new and challenging jobs for China’s recent college graduates, it’s imperative that Mr. Xi focus more attention on China’s economic well-being, ensuring access to markets for Chinese goods and services and encouraging greater foreign direct investment in China.
Premier Li Qiang’s visit to Germany and other European countries is no doubt in line with this pragmatic outreach, as was Politburo member Wang Yi’s recent successful efforts to negotiate a historic agreement between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
China’s assertive behavior in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait could upend Xi’s efforts to ensure global stability. In September 2015, Mr. Xi assured then-President Barack Obama at the White House that “relevant construction activities that China are undertaking in the Spratly Islands do not target any country and China does not intend to pursue militarization.”
Since then, however, China has militarized the islands and reefs in the South China Sea. And since then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s August 2022 visit to Taiwan, China has infringed on Taiwan’s air and sea integrity with naval and air incursions.
Recently, we’ve seen videos of a near collision between Chinese and U.S. warships in the Taiwan Strait and the near collision of a Chinese J-16 fighter jet that flew directly in front of the nose of an RC-135 plane “in an unnecessary aggressive maneuver.”
This is happening almost daily, with China continuing to refuse to reconstitute a hotline between our two militaries to ensure we don’t accidentally stumble into conflict.
The Blinken visit to China represented some progress with China. But more must be done.
• Joseph R. DeTrani is the former director of the National Counterproliferation Center. The views are the author’s and not those of any government agency or department.
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