- Monday, November 5, 2018

President Trump has predicted a red wave will overtake the supposed blue wave, delivering major victories to Republicans on Tuesday. He’ll know early on whether he’s right.

7 p.m.

Final polls close in Virginia, where as many as four Republican-held House seats are considered in danger of flipping. Among them is the 7th District, a seat that’s been in Republicans’ hands for decades, but where Rep. Dave Brat is struggling to stave off Democrat Abigail Spanberger. Also watch for the races in the 2nd, 5th and 10th districts.

Polls also close in Indiana, which is one of Republicans’ chief targets as they look to build on their Senate majority. Sen. Joe Donnelly, a Democrat, is facing his first re-election and has been at pains to explain his vote against the confirmation of Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh.

And while much of the national attention is on Congress, Democrats could have a massive night in statehouses, netting perhaps 10 governorships. Georgia could be one of those, with Stacey Abrams campaigning to be the first black woman in U.S. history to win a governorship. But it’s also possible the contest ends up in a run-off if nobody clears 50 percent.

7:30 p.m.

Perhaps no other state loves Mr. Trump as much as West Virginia — which is why Sen. Joe Manchin III, a Democrat, has been a top target for Republicans. He was the lone Democrat to support Justice Kavanaugh. It may have been enough to save him.

8 p.m.

Florida is home to this year’s marquee governor’s race, with Trump-style candidate Ron DeSantis facing off against Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, who embraces an agenda from the Sen. Bernard Sanders wing of the Democratic Party. A preview of 2020?

Polls also close in Pennsylvania, where Democrats could net five or more House seats, which would put them well on their way to the 23 flips needed to win control of the chamber.

And if Republicans lose the Senate race in Tennessee, Democrats could be looking at flipping control of that chamber, which would have been unthinkable at the beginning of the year.

9 p.m.

The GOP doesn’t have many bright spots in the battle for the House. Perhaps the only ones are in Minnesota, where two Democrat-held districts are considered within Republicans’ reach.

The Arizona Senate race, which features two congresswomen, also comes to a close. If Rep. Martha McSally can keep the seat in the GOP column, Democrats’ hopes to win the Senate will likely die here.

10 p.m.

Final Senate numbers will be decided here. Republican Sen. Dean Heller is fighting to hang onto his seat in Nevada, while Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp will need a miracle finish to save her seat in North Dakota.

Also look for a blast from the past as Mitt Romney, a former GOP governor of liberal Massachusetts, looks on track to win the open Senate seat in Utah, one of the country’s more conservative states.

Polls also close in Iowa, where Democrats hold only one House seat now, but are favored to walk away with three — and are even eyeing victory in the fourth and final seat, held by Republican Rep. Steve King.

11 p.m.

If the GOP isn’t wiped out in Pennsylvania, Virginia and Iowa, control of the House could come down to California, where perhaps 10 Republican seats are in play.

Midnight and beyond

Alaska Rep. Don Young is the dean of the House, having first been elected 46 years ago. The Republican’s tenure could come to an end this week, with Democrat Alyse Galvin giving him a serious challenge.

• Staff can be reached at 202-636-3000.

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