Monday, February 16, 2015

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush leads a host of potential 2016 GOP presidential contenders in a new poll in the early presidential state of New Hampshire.

Mr. Bush has the support of 18 percent of potential Republican primary voters in the new NBC News/Marist poll, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 15 percent, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky at 14 percent, and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 13 percent.

Next is former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 7 percent apiece, Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida at 6 percent apiece, and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at 1 percent apiece.

On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton leads with 69 percent of the vote, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, Vermont Independent, in a distant second place at 13 percent and Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. at 8 percent.

Though many liberal activists are trying to recruit Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts to enter the race, she is not included in the poll because she has said she is not running for president in 2016.

In a few possible general election match-ups, Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Bush, 48 percent to 42 percent, and she leads Mr. Walker, 49 percent to 42 percent.

The poll was taken Feb. 3-10. The margin of error for the sample of 887 registered voters is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points, the sample of 381 potential GOP primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, and the sample of 309 potential Democratic primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points.

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